STRIEBRO – MKS predpoveď na 2008
MKS v roku 2008 predpovedá striebru strop pri $19/oz a dno $12/oz. Z nášho pohľadu je táto predpoveď veľmi reálna avšak máme určité výhrady ku komentáru MKS.
HIGH 2008: 19.00 USD/OZ
LOW 2008: 12.00 USD/OZ
AVERAGE 2008: 16.00 USD/OZ
AVERAGE Q1 2008: 14.00 USD/OZ
AVERAGE Q2 2008: 16.00 USD/OZ
AVERAGE Q3 2008: 18.00 USD/OZ
AVERAGE Q4 2008: 16.00 USD/OZ
COMMENT:
With as little as 13.5% price performance in 2007, silver disappointed. We had expected silver to trade in the shadow of gold and to close the year substantially higher. But the physical surplus and an absence of substantial investment interest stopped silver from trading higher. The risk for renewed supply/demand imbalances in 2008 will probably prevent silver from mowing significantly higher. Nevertheless, the expected pressure on the USD and the positive influences from the other precious metals might artificially help silver to trade toward 19.00 USD/ounce. But the upside trend should remain limited due to the substantial projected physical availability. Rallies might be countered by sharp profit takings. We expect silver throughout 2008 to shift from active and volatile trading into appatic sessions.
Zdroj: www.goldinvestdirect.com
13.01.2008
