URÁN – ako nízko môže klesnúť?

Cena uránu môže krátkodobo klesnúť na úroveň US$95. Odhad pre koniec roku 2007 je $115 a v 2008 až $140.

Uranium prices, which have slumped by a fifth in the past 10 weeks, may fall as low as $95 (U.S.) a pound in the "next few months," says Troika Dialog, Russia's oldest investment bank.

The price of the radioactive metal for immediate delivery, also known as the spot price, dropped to $110 a pound in the week ended Aug. 3, according to industry-pricing service Ux Consulting LLC. Nuclear power generators are still reluctant buyers because they expect further declines, the Denver-based consulting company TradeTech LLP said in a weekly market report.

"We see the price decline as a correction after the spot broke $100 in April," Mikhail Stiskin, an analyst at Troika, said in the report published yesterday. Mr. Stiskin said there hasn't been a "major" change in the price trend. Uranium has dropped from a record $138 a pound in June, amid rising supply and the use of stockpiles by utilities. A radiation leak at the world's biggest atomic power plant in Japan on July 16, after a 6.8 magnitude earthquake, has sparked concern over nuclear accidents. The U.S. Department of Energy's plan to sell 200 tons of stockpiles also depressed prices, Troika said.

"We expect price price growth to resume in autumn, when the active purchasing season starts," Mr. Stiskin said. Troika reiterated its average uranium spot price forecast for this year of $115, and $140 for next year.

Source: UraniumS


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