Zlato $300 a ropa pod $20 v 2009?

Here’s what UBS told CNBC, could be “Some Surprises for ’09”.

1) Oil prices fall below $20 per barrel.

2) The dollar falls to new lifetime lows.

3) Global growth is negative for 2009.

4) Gold goes to $300.

5) Corporate default rates don't rise significantly.

"These things may seem unlikely but this year has shown us that unlikely things can happen,” says Jeff Palma, head of global equity strategy at UBS Investment Research.” Of course these surprises are not forecasts. They’re more like plausible “what if” situations. But, it’s worth noting last year UBS put together the same kind of list and nearly half came true. At the other end of the prediction spectrum, lies India's Commodity Online - it feels that lower supply and higher demand will push gold to $2,000 per ounce. Standard Chartered Plc sees the metal as averaging $985 per ounce this year, and trading closer to $1K by mid-year. And the forecasts keep on rolling in...

Článok:www.commodityonline.com/news/Gold-to-plunge-to-$300-Oil-to-fall-below-$20-13816-3-1.html

05.01.2009

"In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value."   Alan Greenspan