ZLATO – Citigroup zvyšuje svoju predpoveď

Citigroup zvýšila predpoveď výkonu zlata na roky 2008-2010 na $900-1000/oz

Based on a mixture of macro and demand drivers that have already propelled gold prices and are intensifying, Citigroup raised its gold price forecasts for 2008-10, including a test of $1,000/oz.


Citigroup has raised its gold price forecasts by 20% to $900 - $950 - $1,000 ounce for 2008 to 2010-slightly below spot prices and the futures curve--and raised its earning per share estimates for Newmont and Barrick.


Citigroup metals analysts John H. Hill and Graham Wark said they expected a test of the $1,000/oz. Despite the strong gold price, the analysts asserted that "from the equity perspective, gold has arguably come too fast, too fast. We do not believe that the equities discount anything close to current gold prices, or the futures curve."


In their analysis Hill and Wark said, "We believe gold has entered a new investment-driven phase, amid a much more hospitable macro environment. While gold prices have been rising since 2002, this was largely due to the pull from pro-cyclical basic materials and oil in a benign of unbalanced macro environment. Now, with discourse dominated by credit crisis, derivatives dislocations, currency debasement, inflation, and self-reinforcing financial negatives threatening U.S. recession and synchronous global slowdown, gold is entering friendly territory."


Zdroj: MineW

08.02.2008

"In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value."   Alan Greenspan