ZLATO – pokles po roku 2009?

Stále existuje potenciál pre zhodnocovanie, avšak po zlepšení situácie v ekonomike US okolo r. 2009 sa očakáva opätovný pokles.

There is still upside in the gold price over the next two years, but the current bull phase will end in the medium term, says GFMS CEO.


He said the surge in the gold price as was not only a "dollar story" as the metal has rallied in every economic currency, including the yen and the Euro. Although the dollar was an important factor in the gold price, the surge across currencies suggested that "something else" was driving the metal higher.

gold

The key factor driving gold investor demand was imbalances in the US economy, such as the subprime crises, that changed investor attitude towards gold.


Walker said if a recession in the United States did take place, the commodity complex as a whole could see weaker prices, but gold and probably platinum group metals would "decouple" to sustain high prices. "Our view is that the US will go into recession and that it will have knock-on effects of one to two percent of lower growth in India and China. This would in turn have knock-on effects on big commodity prices."


Walker said the gold rally could potentially end if the gold investment drive weakens on the back of a better US economy.


Gold had plenty upside still in 2008 and 2009, but the picture could change in two years when the US economy improves and demand for the metal turns.


Zdroj: MineW

16.02.2008

"In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value."   Alan Greenspan

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