GFMS - vzostup alebo aj pád ceny zlata

Podľa GFMS môže byť pohyb ceny zlata v budúcnosti obojsmerný, tzn. že "negarantuje" jednoznačný vzostup jeho ceny. Jedným z dôvodov je aj očakávaná vysoká volatilita v globálnych ekonomických základoch.

Confused over the recent surge of gold above $1000 per ounce? Yes, most of the investors across the world are now bothered about the unpredictable methods of the yellow metal.

With a view to help the confused investors, research firm GFMS Ltd said gold could move in two ways in the future.

Weakness of the dollar and disappointment over conventional assets in the developed world may support gold well over $1,000 an ounce, while the recent spike in its price could readily unwind in the absence of strong economic support.

The report assumes significance as global economic fundamentals have become more volatile than ever.

Gold, which moves inversely to the dollar, is now more dependent on the greenback, so much so that it follows the currency’s movement.

However, Citigroup has forecast that the gold prices will average up to $940 an ounce this year, up from a previous forecast of $908, and $966 in 2010, up from $925 after setting the new record of $2000 an oz by the end of 2009.

GFMS said it is far from guaranteed that the bull run in gold prices.

Článok: www.commodityonline.com/news/No-guarantee-for-gold’s-bull-run-GFMS-21180-3-1.html

16.09.2009