Kedy dosiahne striebro nové maximá?
Pokiaľ si vezmeme tri korekcie počas poslednej dekády, tak v priemere 42,8% korekcia trvala 98 týždňov a 4 dni. Pokiaľ by sme použili ten istý pomer na súčasnú 46,3% korekciu, tak zotavenie by trvalo 108 týždňov a 3 dni. Od predošlého vrcholu (28. apríl 2011) by cena striebra toto maximum mohla opätovne prekročiť až 26. mája 2013.
So how long will it take to recover from the 2011 slump? We don't know the future, of course, but the current correction is close to the average of the three in the chart, so let's apply the average recovery time to our current situation. The average 42.1% correction took 98 weeks and 4 days to recover; using the same ratio, a 46.3% correction would take 108 weeks and 3 days. Counting from the previous peak of April 28, 2011, we wouldn't break the $48.70 high until May 26, 2013 (based on London PM Fix prices).
If there's anything that sticks out from this bird's-eye view of the past ten years of data, it's that corrections are normal. And just as obvious is the fact that corrections end.
As with gold, the silver bull market is far from over, regardless of any weakness we may see in the near term. Don't be the impatient investor who gives up too early. And trying to time the market for a short-term profit shouldn't be the strategy in the midst of a long-term bull market. Instead, keep silver's fundamentals in mind: its industrial uses are growing and, like gold, silver is money.
That said, we believe that the window for buying silver at $30 won't be open for too long. The profit you someday realize from silver will be made buying now, when the price is low.
Článok: www.silverseek.com/article/when-will-silver-reach-new-high
24.01.2012
"Let me issue and control a nation's money supply, and I care not who makes its laws.” Mayer Amschel Rothschild
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