Poklesnú ceny komodít v 2011?

Nie je istotou, že komodity budú schopné udržať rastúci trend aj v 2011. Z fundamentálnych dôvodov existuje možnosť prepadu ich cien. Napr. ropa na US$80/bl. Historicky aj v býčom komoditnom cykle boli krátke obdobia, kedy sa ceny prepadli. Bude teda 2011 rokom ochladenia cien? Ak áno, bude to jedna z mala príležitostí k doplneniu pozícií.

This first week of the New Year will continue to be volatile, giving short-term investors cause for caution as profit-taking takes hold.”

Several commodities analysts have already warned that crude oil prices could crash to $80 per barrel level in 2011.

“I am unsure if commodities led by gold, silver, copper and crude oil will be able to sustain the current rally. There is a fundamental chance that commodities prices can crash. The main reason for this is that prices of crude oil, gold and agricultural commodities are at record highs,” Sam Johnson, a commodities specialist.

According to Johnson, historically commodities prices have crashed for short durations even during super commodities cycles.

“Commodities will witness a cooling period in 2011. I would not call it a big crash in prices. But certainly, commodities prices will come down,” he added.

Článok: www.commodityonline.com/news/Commodities-prices-to-crash-in-2011-35371-3-1.html