Pomer zlata a striebra na 1:16

Eric Sprott predpokladá, že cena striebra ešte v prvej polovici 2011 vystúpi na US$50/oz a v horizonte 2 až 5 rokov pomer zlata a striebra dosiahne 1:16. Ak predpokladáme, že US$2000/oz pre zlato je v budúcnosti celkom reálnych, tak potom cena striebra pri pomere už pod 1:20 bude skutočne vyjadrovaná v trojcíferných číslách.

Pozn.: už dlhodobo G-Vision pre cenu striebra predpovedá US$120/oz. Pri určitom extréme až US$150-180/oz. Avšak aj táto naša optimistická predpoveď je oproti odhadom niektorých expertov ešte dosť konzervatívna.

TGR: Are you seeing $50 as a top price, or a new baseline?

ES: Lots of things may happen in the short term that have no bearing on the long term. Silver now trades at a price ratio of about 40:1 to gold. In other words, it takes 40 ounces of silver price to equal one ounce of gold. The historical ratio is more like 16:1. My view is that we will go back to 16:1 within two to five years.

To put that in perspective, a $1,600 gold price would imply $100 for silver. I happen to believe that gold will go much higher than $1,600; therefore, given time and letting this ratio play out, I think we'll certainly see a three-digit price for silver.

TGR: So, $50 may even become the floor.

ES: It's a step on the way. It may come faster or it may take a little longer; but when it happens, silver will outperform gold 3:1. That's a shockingly large difference and good reason to get a little more involved in silver.

Článok: www.commodityonline.com/news/Silver-to-hit-$50-within-first-half-of-2011-37166-3-1.html