Vyrovná cena zlata svoje skutočné maximum?

Je dôležité si uvedomiť, že pri zohľadnení inflácie je zlato pri US$1470/oz len asi 61% zo svojho maxima v roku 1980 (US$850/oz). Aby vyrovnalo skutočné maximum so zohľadnenou infláciou, jeho cena by musela vystúpiť až na US$2400/oz. Je možné, že obavy z úverovej krízy, kolapsu dolára a inflácie vynesú jeho cenu na uvedené skutočné maximum.

However, what may be the single greatest upward price pressure is the increasing fear of a debt crisis leading to a currency collapse. It is important to recognize that, at $1,470 an ounce, gold stands at only some 61 percent of the present value of its 1980 all-time high of $850, which, adjusted for inflation, is some $2,400 an ounce. Given the frail state of the US economy today, the chance of a local collapse is much higher than in 1980, when America was the world's largest creditor - instead of its largest debtor.

Therefore, it appears that, despite some volatility, the price of precious metals could be set for a continued rise, and the stock market for a steep fall. Indeed, if inflation materializes at rates equal to those of 1980, a gold price above $2,400 looks feasible. Should it be accompanied by increased fears of a debt crisis and a threat of collapse in the US dollar, far higher prices could be in store.

Článok: http://news.goldseek.com/JohnBrowne/1302847560.php