Zlato v decembri na $1250
Podľa niektorých expertov by sa cena zlata ku koncu roku mala dostať na úroveň US$1,250–$1,260/oz. V prípade dosiahnutia tejto hranice predpokládame, že cena striebra bude min. na úrovni US$25/oz.
I think it's important we all watch key numbers for gold. There's pressure at $1,007; that's a hard resistance number. We have to get through there. The next technical number that's very important is $1,032.50. If we can rally past it, it appears we'll start a run-away to the upside. If I see some closes in gold past $1,050, I'm going to be a happy camper. I think at that price we're going to be off and running toward my $1,250–$1,260 forecast for December.
My high call for gold on the December futures has been $1,250–$1,260 for months. I want to stick with that, although some have said it could go into the $1,300s. The pressure is definitely on the upside. You could see it in silver in the last few weeks. Is it selling? Is it correcting? Sure. But we're getting higher lows; we're seeing more pressure toward the buy side in a bias, despite what the calendar is telling us.
Still this month we may see it go as low as $915 to $907. After Labor Day, brokers will come back from the beach and will want to get busy and start buying shares, so things should move up a bit. But I think after a couple of weeks back in the trading saddle, prices are going to hit the wall. When they do, that's the question mark. If the bullion banks don't really crush gold and sell 10,000 or 20,000 short futures contracts when it's at its weak point in the first two weeks of September, chances are it could go into a runaway.
If they see gold going to the point where they're going to lose control and they can't stop it, they're going to enter buy positions in front of the rally train because they want to make money. That's when you'd see a quick take-off beyond $1,050. Then somewhere up at around $1,300, $1,400, people are going to say, "We've made enough money." Then price will probably come back to a profit-taking higher low, something like $1,150 or maybe $1,200.
Článok:www.commodityonline.com/news/Forecast-Gold-to-touch-$1250–$1260-by-December-20780-3-1.html
31.08.2009
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