Zopakuje striebro výkon zo 70-tych rokov?

V 70-tych rokoch cena striebra vystúpila z $1,50/oz na takmer $50/oz, čo bol viac, ako 25 násobok resp. 2400%. Zopakuje striebro tento výkon aj v súčasnej epoche? To by znamenalo 25 x $4,37/oz (v 2001), čo by vynieslo cenu bieleho kovu nad $110/oz. Môže to byť reálne? My sa pridávame k tým, čo tvrdia, že môže.

Silver remains very undervalued on a historical basis and is undervalued even against gold. While gold has begun to receive some interest from a small minority of retail investors, silver remains the preserve of relatively few contrarian investors and the media and financial press rarely, if ever, covers silver. And yet silver is quite likely in the intermediate stage of a bull market that will rival or surpass that of the 1970s.

In the 1970s silver rose from under $1.50/oz in 1970 to nearly $50/oz in 1980. Thus, silver rose by more than 25 times or by more than 2,400%. Were silver to replicate its performance in the 1970s, it would have to rise by more than 25 times again. The average price of silver in 2001 was $4.37/oz and 25 fold increase would result in silver rising to over $110/oz. While this price target may seem outlandish to some, it is worth remembering that silver's record high in 1980 adjusted for inflation (according to US government inflation figures) was some $130/oz.

Silver is unique in terms of being both a monetary and an industrial metal. Silver is priced at less than $17/oz today. The average nominal price of silver in 1979 and 1980 was $21.80/oz and $16.39/oz respectively. In today's dollars and adjusted for inflation that would equate to an inflation adjusted average price of some $60/oz and $44/oz in 1979 and 1980. It is for this reason that we believe silver will be valued at well over $50/oz in the coming years and silver remains the investment opportunity of a lifetime.

Článok:www.goldcore.com/research/silver-set-soar-it-did-1970s

15.12.2009